COMPOSITE RISK SCORE
33
HIGH RISK
VAL:1/25 · FIN:12/25 · GRO:11/25 · TECH:9/25
📈 P/E RATIO
341.3x
Trailing
📖 P/B RATIO
17.0x
Price to Book
🏛 MARKET CAP
$1.4T
Large Cap
📊 ROE
4.9%
Return on Equity
Overview
Technical
Financials
Analysis
Verdict
🏢 Company Analysis · Tesla, Inc.
💼 BUSINESS MODEL
Tesla, Inc.. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally.. The company operates in two segments, Automotive; and Energy Generation and Storage.. The company offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty maintenance services and collision, automotive insurance services, as well as part sales and retail merchandise sale.. Operates in Auto Manufacturers within the Consumer Cyclical sector. Workforce of 134,785 employees.
🏰 MOAT & COMPETITION
Mega-cap ($1,397B) — dominant market position with significant scale advantages.
🚀 CATALYSTS
SpaceX approves CEO Elon Musk's compensation plan: What to know (Yahoo Finance Video) Bloom Energy Shares Jump After Earnings Beat and Major Oracle Data Center Deal (GuruFocus.com) Revenue growing at 16% — strong top-line momentum.
⚖️ ASYMMETRY CHECK
Analyst target range: $123 — $600 (mean $416, 40 analysts). Unfavorable asymmetry — limited upside +61% vs downside -67% (0.9x).P/E of 341.3x — premium valuation , growth must sustain to avoid de-rating risk.
🔭 FUTURE OUTLOOK
Analyst consensus: Buy (40 analysts). Latest quarter earnings grew 17% YoY — positive trajectory.
P/E at 341x
P/B at 17.0x
Analyst target: $416.45 (+11.9%)
1Y return: +27.4%
ROE: 4.9%
Profit margin: 3.9%
Revenue growth: 15.8%
Debt/Equity: 19%
Revenue growth: 15.8%
Earnings growth: 8.3%
Beta: 1.92
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
RSI, MACD, MA crossovers
200 DMA & 50 EMA position
Volume trend analysis
Price momentum signals
📈 Price Movement
1D 1W 1M
6M 1Y 3Y 5Y
🕯 Candlestick Chart
1D 1W 1M
6M 1Y 3Y 5Y
🎯 Price Prediction · Analyst Target Cone
📉 Valuation Trends (at current CMP)
P/E P/B MCap/Sales EPS
396.1
315.4
234.7
154.0
73.4
2022
2023
2024
2025
2022: 102.8 2023: 86.3 2024: 182.4 2025: 344.4 344.4
35.9
30.6
25.2
19.8
14.5
2022
2023
2024
2025
2022: 31.2 2023: 22.3 2024: 19.2 2025: 17.0 17.0
19.7
17.8
15.9
14.0
12.2
2022
2023
2024
2025
2022: 17.1 2023: 14.4 2024: 14.3 2025: 14.7 14.7
5.0
3.9
2.9
1.9
0.9
2022
2023
2024
2025
2022: 3.6 2023: 4.3 2024: 2.0 2025: 1.1 1.1
💎 Valuation & Financial Metrics
P/E RATIO
341.3x
Trailing twelve months
P/B RATIO
17.0x
Price to Book value
PROFIT MARGIN
3.9%
Net profit margin
OPM
4.2%
Operating profit margin
ANALYST TARGET
$416.45
Range: $123.00 - $600.00
PEG RATIO
5.18
Price/Earnings to Growth
EV/EBITDA
124.8x
Enterprise value ratio
CURRENT RATIO
2.04
Liquidity measure
DIVIDEND YIELD
N/A
Annual yield
GROSS MARGIN
19.1%
Gross profit margin
SECTOR BENCHMARKS — AUTO MANUFACTURERS
P/E (fair) 25.0x (sector mid)
P/B (fair) 5.0x (sector mid)
ROE (good) 20% (sector target)
OPM (good) 18% (sector target)
D/E comfort <30 (sector)
📋 Quarterly Performance Trend
Quarter Revenue QoQ % Net Profit QoQ % Op. Cash Flow EBITDA Margin
Q3 '24
N/A —
N/A —
N/A
N/A
Q4 '24
N/A —
N/A —
N/A
N/A
Q1 '25
$19.3B —
$409.0M —
$2.2B
11.0%
Q2 '25
$22.5B +16.3%
$1.2B +186.6%
$2.5B
13.6%
Q3 '25
$28.1B +24.9%
$1.4B +17.2%
$6.2B
13.0%
Q4 '25
$24.9B -11.4%
$840.0M -38.8%
$3.8B
11.7%
Q1 '26
$22.4B -10.1%
$477.0M -43.2%
$3.9B
10.9%
📊 Year-on-Year Trend
FY Revenue YoY % Net Profit YoY % Op. Cash Flow YoY %
2021
N/A —
N/A —
N/A —
2022
$81.5B —
$12.6B —
$14.7B —
2023
$96.8B +18.8%
$15.0B +19.2%
$13.3B -10.0%
2024
$97.7B +0.9%
$7.1B -52.5%
$14.9B +12.6%
2025
$94.8B -2.9%
$3.8B -46.8%
$14.7B -1.2%
📈 Revenue vs Earnings
Quarterly
Annual
💰 How Tesla, Inc. Makes Its Money
Quarterly
Annual
Revenue
$22.4B
Cost of Revenue
$17.7B
Gross Profit
$4.7B
R&D
$1.9B
SG&A
$1.8B
Operating Inc.
$941M
Tax
$257M
Other
$535M
Net Income
$477M
(2.1% margin)
Mar 2026 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$24.9B
Cost of Revenue
$19.9B
Gross Profit
$5.0B
R&D
$1.8B
SG&A
$1.7B
Operating Inc.
$1.6B
Tax
$325M
Other
$754M
Net Income
$840M
(3.4% margin)
Dec 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$28.1B
Cost of Revenue
$23.0B
Gross Profit
$5.1B
R&D
$1.6B
SG&A
$1.6B
Operating Inc.
$1.9B
Tax
$570M
Other
$266M
Net Income
$1.4B
(4.9% margin)
Sep 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$22.5B
Cost of Revenue
$18.6B
Gross Profit
$3.9B
R&D
$1.6B
SG&A
$1.4B
Operating Inc.
$923M
Tax
$359M
Other
$320M
Net Income
$1.2B
(5.2% margin)
Jun 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$94.8B
Cost of Revenue
$77.7B
Gross Profit
$17.1B
R&D
$6.4B
SG&A
$5.8B
Operating Inc.
$4.8B
Tax
$1.4B
Other
$913M
Net Income
$3.8B
(4.0% margin)
Dec 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$97.7B
Cost of Revenue
$80.2B
Gross Profit
$17.4B
R&D
$4.5B
SG&A
$5.2B
Operating Inc.
$7.8B
Tax
$1.8B
Net Income
$7.1B
(7.3% margin)
Dec 2024 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$96.8B
Cost of Revenue
$79.1B
Gross Profit
$17.7B
R&D
$4.0B
SG&A
$4.8B
Operating Inc.
$8.9B
Net Income
$15.0B
(15.5% margin)
Dec 2023 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$81.5B
Cost of Revenue
$60.6B
Gross Profit
$20.9B
R&D
$3.1B
SG&A
$3.9B
Operating Inc.
$13.8B
Tax
$1.1B
Net Income
$12.6B
(15.4% margin)
Dec 2022 · All values in $ Millions
Mar 2026
Dec 2025
Sep 2025
Jun 2025
🏦 Snapshot of Tesla, Inc.'s Balance Sheet
Quarterly
Annual
Total Assets
$143.7B
Cash & Equiv.: $16.6B (11.6%)
Receivables: $4.0B (2.8%)
Inventory: $14.4B (10.0%)
Other Current: $34.8B (24.2%)
PP&E: $58.6B (40.8%)
Other Non-Curr.: $14.6B (10.1%)
Liab. + Equity
$143.7B
Current Liab.: $34.1B (23.8%)
Long-Term Debt: $7.6B (5.3%)
Other Liab.: $17.1B (11.9%)
Equity: $84.8B (59.0%)
As of Mar 2026 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$137.8B
Cash & Equiv.: $16.5B (12.0%)
Receivables: $4.6B (3.3%)
Inventory: $12.4B (9.0%)
Other Current: $35.2B (25.5%)
PP&E: $56.2B (40.8%)
Goodwill: $257M (0.2%)
Other Non-Curr.: $11.6B (8.4%)
Liab. + Equity
$137.8B
Current Liab.: $31.7B (23.0%)
Long-Term Debt: $6.6B (4.8%)
Other Liab.: $16.6B (12.1%)
Equity: $82.9B (60.1%)
As of Dec 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$133.7B
Cash & Equiv.: $18.3B (13.7%)
Receivables: $4.7B (3.5%)
Inventory: $12.3B (9.2%)
Other Current: $29.4B (22.0%)
PP&E: $54.9B (41.0%)
Goodwill: $257M (0.2%)
Other Non-Curr.: $13.8B (10.3%)
Liab. + Equity
$133.7B
Current Liab.: $31.3B (23.4%)
Long-Term Debt: $5.6B (4.2%)
Other Liab.: $16.1B (12.1%)
Equity: $80.7B (60.4%)
As of Sep 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$128.6B
Cash & Equiv.: $15.6B (12.1%)
Receivables: $3.8B (3.0%)
Inventory: $14.6B (11.3%)
Other Current: $27.1B (21.1%)
PP&E: $54.2B (42.2%)
Goodwill: $258M (0.2%)
Other Non-Curr.: $12.8B (10.0%)
Liab. + Equity
$128.6B
Current Liab.: $30.0B (23.3%)
Long-Term Debt: $5.0B (3.9%)
Other Liab.: $15.5B (12.1%)
Equity: $78.1B (60.7%)
As of Jun 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$137.8B
Cash & Equiv.: $16.5B (12.0%)
Receivables: $4.6B (3.3%)
Inventory: $12.4B (9.0%)
Other Current: $35.2B (25.5%)
PP&E: $56.2B (40.8%)
Goodwill: $257M (0.2%)
Other Non-Curr.: $11.6B (8.4%)
Liab. + Equity
$137.8B
Current Liab.: $31.7B (23.0%)
Long-Term Debt: $6.6B (4.8%)
Other Liab.: $16.6B (12.1%)
Equity: $82.9B (60.1%)
As of Dec 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$122.1B
Cash & Equiv.: $16.1B (13.2%)
Receivables: $4.4B (3.6%)
Inventory: $12.0B (9.8%)
Other Current: $25.8B (21.1%)
PP&E: $51.5B (42.2%)
Goodwill: $244M (0.2%)
Other Intangibles: $1.2B (1.0%)
Other Non-Curr.: $10.7B (8.8%)
Liab. + Equity
$122.1B
Current Liab.: $28.8B (23.6%)
Long-Term Debt: $5.5B (4.5%)
Other Liab.: $14.0B (11.5%)
Equity: $73.7B (60.4%)
As of Dec 2024 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$106.6B
Cash & Equiv.: $16.4B (15.4%)
Receivables: $3.5B (3.3%)
Inventory: $13.6B (12.8%)
Other Current: $16.1B (15.1%)
PP&E: $45.1B (42.3%)
Goodwill: $253M (0.2%)
Other Non-Curr.: $11.3B (10.6%)
Liab. + Equity
$106.6B
Current Liab.: $28.7B (27.0%)
Long-Term Debt: $2.7B (2.5%)
Other Liab.: $11.6B (10.9%)
Equity: $63.6B (59.7%)
As of Dec 2023 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$82.3B
Cash & Equiv.: $16.3B (19.7%)
Receivables: $3.0B (3.6%)
Inventory: $12.8B (15.6%)
Other Current: $8.9B (10.8%)
PP&E: $36.6B (44.5%)
Goodwill: $194M (0.2%)
Other Non-Curr.: $4.2B (5.1%)
Liab. + Equity
$82.3B
Current Liab.: $26.7B (32.4%)
Long-Term Debt: $1.0B (1.2%)
Other Liab.: $8.7B (10.6%)
Equity: $45.9B (55.7%)
As of Dec 2022 · All values in $ Millions
Mar 2026
Dec 2025
Sep 2025
Jun 2025
💸 Looking into Tesla, Inc.'s Cash Flow
Quarterly
Annual
Operating CF
$3.9B
Capital Exp.
$2.5B
Free Cash Flow
$1.4B
Debt Repaid
$3.5B
FY2026 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$3.8B
Capital Exp.
$2.4B
Free Cash Flow
$1.4B
Debt Repaid
$767M
Retained / Other
$653M
FY2025 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$6.2B
Capital Exp.
$2.2B
Free Cash Flow
$4.0B
Debt Repaid
$687M
Retained / Other
$3.3B
FY2025 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$2.5B
Capital Exp.
$2.4B
Free Cash Flow
$146M
Debt Repaid
$2.8B
FY2025 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$14.7B
Capital Exp.
$8.5B
Free Cash Flow
$6.2B
Debt Repaid
$5.7B
Retained / Other
$570M
FY2025 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$14.9B
Capital Exp.
$11.3B
Free Cash Flow
$3.6B
Debt Repaid
$2.9B
Retained / Other
$700M
FY2024 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$13.3B
Capital Exp.
$8.9B
Free Cash Flow
$4.4B
Debt Repaid
$1.8B
Retained / Other
$2.5B
FY2023 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$14.7B
Capital Exp.
$7.2B
Free Cash Flow
$7.6B
Debt Repaid
$3.9B
Retained / Other
$3.7B
FY2022 · All values in $ Millions
FY2026
FY2025
FY2025
FY2025
🎯 EPS: Estimate vs Actual
Estimates
Quarterly
Annual
📅 Quarterly Results
Item Mar '26 Dec '25 Sep '25 Jun '25 Mar '25 Dec '24 Sep '24 Total Revenue $22.39B $24.90B $28.09B $22.50B $19.34B — — Cost of Revenue $17.67B $19.89B $23.04B $18.62B $16.18B — — Gross Profit $4.72B $5.01B $5.05B $3.88B $3.15B — — Operating Expense $3.78B $3.44B $3.19B $2.96B $2.66B — — Operating Income $941.0M $1.57B $1.86B $923.0M $493.0M — — Interest Expense $92.0M $85.0M $76.0M $86.0M $91.0M — — Pretax Income $748.0M $1.18B $1.96B $1.55B $589.0M — — Tax Provision $257.0M $325.0M $570.0M $359.0M $169.0M — — Net Income $477.0M $840.0M $1.37B $1.17B $409.0M — — EBITDA $2.43B $2.91B $3.66B $3.07B $2.13B — — EPS (Basic) $0.15 $0.26 $0.43 $0.36 $0.13 — — EPS (Diluted) $0.13 $0.24 $0.39 $0.33 $0.12 — — Shares Outstanding 3.54B 3.54B 3.53B 3.52B 3.52B — —
📊 Profit & Loss Statement
Item Dec '25 Dec '24 Dec '23 Dec '22 Dec '21 Total Revenue $94.83B $97.69B $96.77B $81.46B — Cost of Revenue $77.73B $80.24B $79.11B $60.61B — Gross Profit $17.09B $17.45B $17.66B $20.85B — Operating Expense $12.24B $9.69B $8.77B $7.02B — Operating Income $4.85B $7.76B $8.89B $13.83B — Interest Expense $338.0M $350.0M $156.0M $191.0M — Pretax Income $5.28B $8.99B $9.97B $13.72B — Tax Provision $1.42B $1.84B $-5.00B $1.13B — Net Income $3.79B $7.13B $15.00B $12.58B — EBITDA $11.76B $14.71B $14.80B $17.66B — EPS (Basic) $1.18 $2.23 $4.73 $4.02 — EPS (Diluted) $1.08 $2.04 $4.31 $3.62 — Shares Outstanding 3.53B 3.22B 3.48B 3.48B —
🏦 Balance Sheet
Item Dec '25 Dec '24 Dec '23 Dec '22 Dec '21 Total Assets $137.81B $122.07B $106.62B $82.34B — Current Assets $68.64B $58.36B $49.62B $40.92B — Cash & Equivalents $16.51B $16.14B $16.40B $16.25B — Accounts Receivable $4.58B $4.42B $3.51B $2.95B — Inventory $12.39B $12.02B $13.63B $12.84B — Non-Current Assets $69.16B $63.72B $57.00B $41.42B — Property Plant & Equip $56.18B $51.51B $45.12B $36.63B — Goodwill $257.0M $244.0M $253.0M $194.0M — Intangible Assets $1.39B $1.47B $615.0M $593.0M — Total Liabilities $54.94B $48.39B $43.01B $36.44B — Current Liabilities $31.71B $28.82B $28.75B $26.71B — Accounts Payable $13.37B $12.47B $14.43B $15.26B — Short-Term Debt $1.57B $2.34B $1.98B $1.02B — Long-Term Debt $6.58B $5.54B $2.68B $1.03B — Total Equity $82.86B $73.68B $63.61B $45.90B — Retained Earnings $39.00B $35.21B $27.88B $12.88B — Book Value/Share 80.75B 71.44B 62.02B 44.11B —
💰 Cash Flow Statement
Item Dec '25 Dec '24 Dec '23 Dec '22 Dec '21 Operating Cash Flow $14.75B $14.92B $13.26B $14.72B — Depreciation & Amort. $6.15B $5.37B $4.67B $3.75B — Change in Working Cap $642.0M $81.0M $-2.25B $-3.71B — Capital Expenditure $-8.53B $-11.34B $-8.90B $-7.17B — Free Cash Flow $6.22B $3.58B $4.36B $7.55B — Investing Cash Flow $-15.48B $-18.79B $-15.58B $-11.97B — Acquisitions $0 $0 $-64.0M $0 — Financing Cash Flow $1.14B $3.85B $2.59B $-3.53B — Debt Issued $5.59B $5.74B $3.93B $0 — Debt Repaid $-5.65B $-2.88B $-1.81B $-3.87B — Net Change in Cash $408.0M $-11.0M $261.0M $-776.0M —
📈 Key Financial Ratios
Ratio FY2025 FY2024 FY2023 FY2022 FY2021 Gross Margin % 18.0% 17.9% 18.2% 25.6% — Operating Margin % 5.1% 7.9% 9.2% 17.0% — Net Margin % 4.0% 7.3% 15.5% 15.4% — EBITDA Margin % 12.4% 15.1% 15.3% 21.7% — ROE % 4.6% 9.7% 23.6% 27.4% — ROA % 2.8% 5.8% 14.1% 15.3% — Debt/Equity % 17.8% 18.5% 15.0% 12.5% — Current Ratio 2.16 2.02 1.73 1.53 — FCF Margin % 6.6% 3.7% 4.5% 9.3% — Asset Turnover 0.69 0.80 0.91 0.99 —
🚀 Compounded Growth Rates
Revenue
1-Year -2.9% 3-Year CAGR -1.0%
Net Profit
1-Year -46.8% 3-Year CAGR -49.7%
EPS
1-Year -47.1% 3-Year CAGR -49.9%
🏭 Industry Peers — Auto Manufacturers
Ticker Company Price P/E P/B MCap ROE Margin Rev Growth AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. $262.63 36.6 6.9 $2,824.4B 22.3% 10.8% 13.6% HD Home Depot, Inc. (The) $320.84 22.6 24.9 $319.6B 145.5% 8.6% -3.8% NKE Nike, Inc. $44.26 29.1 4.6 $65.5B 16.0% 4.8% 0.1% MCD McDonald's Corporation $291.88 24.4 -115.9 $207.5B — 31.9% 9.7% SBUX Starbucks Corporation $106.75 89.0 -14.5 $121.6B — 3.6% 5.5% LOW Lowe's Companies, Inc. $232.47 19.6 -13.2 $130.2B — 7.7% 10.9% TJX TJX Companies, Inc. (The) $155.55 31.9 16.9 $172.7B 59.1% 9.1% 8.5% BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. Common S $172.36 26.0 -24.6 $134.1B — 20.1% 16.0%
Peers selected from Consumer Cyclical sector · Data from Yahoo Finance
🏛 Shareholding Pattern
TOP HOLDERS
Holder Type Shares % Held Vanguard Group Inc Inst 258,925,024 6.89% Blackrock Inc. Inst 209,563,808 5.58% State Street Corporation Inst 114,842,934 3.06% Geode Capital Management, LLC Inst 65,700,975 1.75% JPMORGAN CHASE & CO Inst 44,591,616 1.19% VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total MF 88,844,093 2.37% VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 I MF 70,857,744 1.89% Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 MF 38,457,018 1.02%
🟢 CATALYSTS
🏆 Positive Revenue Growth: Revenue growing at 15.8% YoY.
💹 Analyst Upside (12%): Mean target of $416.45 above current price.
🔀 Sector Opportunity: Consumer Cyclical / Auto Manufacturers — positioned in growth sector.
🔴 RISKS
📜 High P/E (341.3x): Well above sector expensive threshold of 45x — leaves little room for error.
💰 High Beta (1.92): More volatile than market — higher swing risk.
🔓 Market Risk: Broader market correction or sentiment shift could impact stock.
🕸 Factor Analysis · Radar
Momentum 5/10: 1M +4.7%, 6M -19.4%, RSI 47, MACD bullish, Below 200DMA Sentiment 7/10: Analyst upside +11.9%, Rec: buy Value 0/10: P/E 341.3, P/B 17.0, PEG 5.18, EV/EBITDA 124.8 Quality 6/10: ROE 4.9%, Margin 3.9%, D/E 19, CR 2.04 Low Volatility 1/10: Beta 1.92, Ann. vol 47% Momentum
5
Sentiment
7
Value
0
Quality
6
Low Vol
1
Momentum 5/10 1M +4.7%, 6M -19.4%, RSI 47, MACD bullish, Below 200DMA
Sentiment 7/10 Analyst upside +11.9%, Rec: buy
Value 0/10 P/E 341.3, P/B 17.0, PEG 5.18, EV/EBITDA 124.8
Quality 6/10 ROE 4.9%, Margin 3.9%, D/E 19, CR 2.04
Low Volatility 1/10 Beta 1.92, Ann. vol 47%
🎯 Decision Matrix — Game Theory
Action If Stock Rises If Stock Falls
BUY Capture 11.9% analyst upside Fundamentals provide base support HOLD Retain existing position; wait for better entry Miss further upside if momentum continues SELL Lock in +27.4% 1Y return Avoid further drawdown
REASONS TO BUY
Analyst upside of 11.9% with mean target of $416.45
Revenue growing at 15.8% YoY (sector norm: 8%)
REASONS TO SELL / AVOID
P/E of 341.3x exceeds sector expensive threshold of 45x
Tesla, Inc. trades at $372.00 with a composite risk score of 33/100.
The stock scores 1/25 on valuation, 12/25 on financial health, 11/25 on growth, and 9/25 on technicals.
The company is currently profitable with moderate return on equity.
Bottom Line: Elevated risk for Consumer Cyclical — consider exiting. The current recommendation is SELL .
UPSIDE POTENTIAL
EXPENSIVE
VOLATILE