COMPOSITE RISK SCORE
49
MODERATE
VAL:2/25 · FIN:24/25 · GRO:20/25 · TECH:3/25
📈 P/E RATIO
213.9x
Trailing
📖 P/B RATIO
44.3x
Price to Book
🏛 MARKET CAP
$328.1B
Large Cap
📊 ROE
26.0%
Return on Equity
Overview
Technical
Financials
Analysis
Verdict
🏢 Company Analysis · Palantir Technologies Inc.
💼 BUSINESS MODEL
Palantir Technologies Inc.. builds and deploys software platforms for the intelligence community to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally.. It provides Palantir Gotham integrates with other platforms for defense offerings which enables users to see, understand, and act in the modern battlespace; operations centers to the tactical edge; integrating data from domains and sensors in near real-time; and situational awareness and accelerating operational decision-making, as well as facilitates the hand-off between analysts and operational users, helping operators plan and execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform.. The company also offers Palantir Foundry, a platform that helps organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place.. Operates in Software - Infrastructure within the Technology sector. Workforce of 4,429 employees.
🏰 MOAT & COMPETITION
Mega-cap ($328B) — dominant market position with significant scale advantages. ROE of 26.0% indicates strong competitive advantage and efficient capital deployment. Profit margin of 36.3% suggests pricing power / cost moat.
🚀 CATALYSTS
Why I Keep Pressing the Buy Button on Palantir’s $4.38B Deal Pipeline (24/7 Wall St.) Cleveland-Cliffs partners with Palantir on AI-driven steelmaking (Manufacturing Dive) Revenue growing at 70% — strong top-line momentum. Earnings growth of 648% signals execution on profitability.
⚖️ ASYMMETRY CHECK
Analyst target range: $70 — $260 (mean $186, 25 analysts). Moderate asymmetry — upside +90% vs downside -49% (1.8x).P/E of 213.9x — premium valuation , growth must sustain to avoid de-rating risk.
🔭 FUTURE OUTLOOK
Analyst consensus: Buy (25 analysts). Latest quarter earnings grew 670% YoY — positive trajectory.
P/E at 214x
P/B at 44.3x
Analyst target: $186.47 (+36.2%)
1Y return: +17.9%
ROE: 26.0%
Profit margin: 36.3%
Revenue growth: 70.0%
Debt/Equity: 3%
Revenue growth: 70.0%
Earnings growth: 647.6%
Beta: 1.67
Sector: Technology
RSI, MACD, MA crossovers
200 DMA & 50 EMA position
Volume trend analysis
Price momentum signals
📈 Price Movement
1D 1W 1M
6M 1Y 3Y 5Y
🕯 Candlestick Chart
1D 1W 1M
6M 1Y 3Y 5Y
🎯 Price Prediction · Analyst Target Cone
📉 Valuation Trends (at current CMP)
P/E P/B MCap/Sales EPS
1746.4
1356.0
965.5
575.1
184.7
2023
2024
2025
2023: 1518.6 2024: 719.3 2025: 217.3 217.3
140.9
114.7
88.5
62.3
36.2
2022
2023
2024
2025
2022: 122.5 2023: 90.4 2024: 62.8 2025: 42.5 42.5
198.0
164.1
130.1
96.2
62.3
2022
2023
2024
2025
2022: 172.2 2023: 147.5 2024: 114.5 2025: 73.3 73.3
0.7
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
2023
2024
2025
2023: 0.1 2024: 0.2 2025: 0.6 0.6
💎 Valuation & Financial Metrics
P/E RATIO
213.9x
Trailing twelve months
P/B RATIO
44.3x
Price to Book value
PROFIT MARGIN
36.3%
Net profit margin
OPM
40.9%
Operating profit margin
ANALYST TARGET
$186.47
Range: $70.00 - $260.00
PEG RATIO
2.81
Price/Earnings to Growth
EV/EBITDA
229.7x
Enterprise value ratio
CURRENT RATIO
7.11
Liquidity measure
DIVIDEND YIELD
N/A
Annual yield
GROSS MARGIN
82.4%
Gross profit margin
SECTOR BENCHMARKS — SOFTWARE - INFRASTRUCTURE
P/E (fair) 35.0x (sector mid)
P/B (fair) 8.0x (sector mid)
ROE (good) 25% (sector target)
OPM (good) 25% (sector target)
D/E comfort <20 (sector)
📋 Quarterly Performance Trend
Quarter Revenue QoQ % Net Profit QoQ % Op. Cash Flow EBITDA Margin
Q4 '24
$827.5M —
$79.0M —
$460.3M
2.2%
Q1 '25
$883.9M +6.8%
$214.0M +170.9%
$310.3M
20.7%
Q2 '25
$1.0B +13.6%
$326.7M +52.7%
$539.3M
27.5%
Q3 '25
$1.2B +17.7%
$475.6M +45.6%
$507.7M
33.8%
Q4 '25
$1.4B +19.1%
$608.7M +28.0%
$777.3M
41.4%
📊 Year-on-Year Trend
FY Revenue YoY % Net Profit YoY % Op. Cash Flow YoY %
2021
N/A —
N/A —
N/A —
2022
$1.9B —
$-373.7M —
$223.7M —
2023
$2.2B +16.7%
$209.8M +156.1%
$712.2M +218.3%
2024
$2.9B +28.8%
$462.2M +120.3%
$1.2B +62.0%
2025
$4.5B +56.2%
$1.6B +251.6%
$2.1B +85.0%
📈 Revenue vs Earnings
Quarterly
Annual
💰 How Palantir Technologies Inc. Makes Its Money
Quarterly
Annual
Revenue
$1.4B
Cost of Revenue
$216M
Gross Profit
$1.2B
R&D
$144M
SG&A
$472M
Operating Inc.
$575M
Tax
$10M
Other
$17M
Net Income
$609M
(43.3% margin)
Dec 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$1.2B
Cost of Revenue
$207M
Gross Profit
$974M
R&D
$144M
SG&A
$436M
Operating Inc.
$393M
Other
$27M
Net Income
$476M
(40.3% margin)
Sep 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$1.0B
Cost of Revenue
$193M
Gross Profit
$811M
R&D
$135M
SG&A
$406M
Operating Inc.
$269M
Other
$7M
Net Income
$327M
(32.6% margin)
Jun 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$884M
Cost of Revenue
$173M
Gross Profit
$711M
R&D
$135M
SG&A
$400M
Operating Inc.
$176M
Tax
$6M
Net Income
$214M
(24.2% margin)
Mar 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$4.5B
Cost of Revenue
$789M
Gross Profit
$3.7B
R&D
$558M
SG&A
$1.7B
Operating Inc.
$1.4B
Tax
$23M
Net Income
$1.6B
(36.3% margin)
Dec 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$2.9B
Cost of Revenue
$566M
Gross Profit
$2.3B
R&D
$508M
SG&A
$1.5B
Operating Inc.
$310M
Tax
$21M
Other
$18M
Net Income
$462M
(16.1% margin)
Dec 2024 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$2.2B
Cost of Revenue
$431M
Gross Profit
$1.8B
R&D
$405M
SG&A
$1.3B
Operating Inc.
$120M
Tax
$20M
Other
$15M
Net Income
$210M
(9.4% margin)
Dec 2023 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$1.9B
Cost of Revenue
$409M
Gross Profit
$1.5B
R&D
$360M
SG&A
$1.3B
Operating Inc.
-$161M
Tax
$10M
Other
$220M
Net Income
-$374M
(-19.6% margin)
Dec 2022 · All values in $ Millions
Dec 2025
Sep 2025
Jun 2025
Mar 2025
🏦 Snapshot of Palantir Technologies Inc.'s Balance Sheet
Quarterly
Annual
Total Assets
$8.9B
Cash & Equiv.: $1.4B (16.0%)
Receivables: $1.0B (11.7%)
Other Current: $5.9B (66.2%)
PP&E: $252M (2.8%)
Other Non-Curr.: $290M (3.3%)
Liab. + Equity
$8.9B
Current Liab.: $1.2B (13.2%)
Long-Term Debt: $183M (2.1%)
Equity: $7.5B (84.1%)
As of Dec 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$8.1B
Cash & Equiv.: $1.6B (19.9%)
Receivables: $1.0B (12.4%)
Other Current: $5.0B (61.2%)
PP&E: $250M (3.1%)
Other Non-Curr.: $278M (3.4%)
Liab. + Equity
$8.1B
Current Liab.: $1.2B (14.5%)
Long-Term Debt: $189M (2.3%)
Equity: $6.7B (82.4%)
As of Sep 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$7.4B
Cash & Equiv.: $930M (12.6%)
Receivables: $747M (10.1%)
Other Current: $5.2B (70.8%)
PP&E: $247M (3.4%)
Other Non-Curr.: $228M (3.1%)
Liab. + Equity
$7.4B
Current Liab.: $1.1B (14.8%)
Long-Term Debt: $192M (2.6%)
Equity: $6.0B (81.8%)
As of Jun 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$6.7B
Cash & Equiv.: $993M (14.7%)
Receivables: $725M (10.8%)
Other Current: $4.6B (67.7%)
PP&E: $249M (3.7%)
Other Non-Curr.: $205M (3.0%)
Liab. + Equity
$6.7B
Current Liab.: $967M (14.4%)
Long-Term Debt: $200M (3.0%)
Equity: $5.5B (81.9%)
As of Mar 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$8.9B
Cash & Equiv.: $1.4B (16.0%)
Receivables: $1.0B (11.7%)
Other Current: $5.9B (66.2%)
PP&E: $252M (2.8%)
Other Non-Curr.: $290M (3.3%)
Liab. + Equity
$8.9B
Current Liab.: $1.2B (13.2%)
Long-Term Debt: $183M (2.1%)
Equity: $7.5B (84.1%)
As of Dec 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$6.3B
Cash & Equiv.: $2.1B (33.1%)
Receivables: $575M (9.1%)
Other Current: $3.3B (51.4%)
PP&E: $240M (3.8%)
Other Non-Curr.: $166M (2.6%)
Liab. + Equity
$6.3B
Current Liab.: $996M (15.7%)
Long-Term Debt: $195M (3.1%)
Equity: $5.1B (80.3%)
As of Dec 2024 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$4.5B
Cash & Equiv.: $831M (18.4%)
Receivables: $365M (8.1%)
Other Current: $2.9B (65.1%)
PP&E: $231M (5.1%)
Other Non-Curr.: $153M (3.4%)
Liab. + Equity
$4.5B
Current Liab.: $746M (16.5%)
Long-Term Debt: $175M (3.9%)
Equity: $3.6B (78.7%)
As of Dec 2023 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$3.5B
Cash & Equiv.: $2.6B (75.1%)
Receivables: $258M (7.5%)
Other Current: $185M (5.3%)
PP&E: $269M (7.8%)
Other Non-Curr.: $150M (4.3%)
Liab. + Equity
$3.5B
Current Liab.: $588M (17.0%)
Long-Term Debt: $204M (5.9%)
Equity: $2.6B (76.3%)
As of Dec 2022 · All values in $ Millions
Dec 2025
Sep 2025
Jun 2025
Mar 2025
💸 Looking into Palantir Technologies Inc.'s Cash Flow
Quarterly
Annual
Operating CF
$777M
Capital Exp.
$13M
Free Cash Flow
$764M
Buybacks
$19M
Retained / Other
$745M
FY2025 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$508M
Capital Exp.
$7M
Free Cash Flow
$501M
Buybacks
$19M
Retained / Other
$482M
FY2025 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$539M
Capital Exp.
$8M
Free Cash Flow
$532M
Buybacks
$19M
Retained / Other
$513M
FY2025 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$310M
Capital Exp.
$6M
Free Cash Flow
$304M
Buybacks
$18M
Retained / Other
$286M
FY2025 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$2.1B
Capital Exp.
$34M
Free Cash Flow
$2.1B
Buybacks
$75M
Retained / Other
$2.0B
FY2025 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$1.2B
Capital Exp.
$13M
Free Cash Flow
$1.1B
Buybacks
$64M
Retained / Other
$1.1B
FY2024 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$712M
Capital Exp.
$15M
Free Cash Flow
$697M
Retained / Other
$697M
FY2023 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$224M
Capital Exp.
$40M
Free Cash Flow
$184M
Retained / Other
$184M
FY2022 · All values in $ Millions
FY2025
FY2025
FY2025
FY2025
🎯 EPS: Estimate vs Actual
Estimates
Quarterly
Annual
📅 Quarterly Results
Item Dec '25 Sep '25 Jun '25 Mar '25 Dec '24 Total Revenue $1.41B $1.18B $1.00B $883.9M $827.5M Cost of Revenue $216.0M $207.3M $192.9M $173.0M $174.5M Gross Profit $1.19B $973.8M $810.8M $710.9M $653.0M Operating Expense $615.4M $580.5M $541.4M $534.8M $641.9M Operating Income $575.4M $393.3M $269.3M $176.0M $11.0M Interest Expense $62.7M $59.8M $56.3M $50.4M $54.7M Pretax Income $621.4M $480.5M $332.2M $223.3M $80.5M Tax Provision $9.8M $3.8M $3.6M $5.6M $3.6M Net Income $608.7M $475.6M $326.7M $214.0M $79.0M EBITDA $582.4M $399.2M $275.8M $182.7M $18.0M EPS (Basic) $0.26 $0.20 $0.14 $0.09 $0.03 EPS (Diluted) $0.24 $0.18 $0.13 $0.08 $0.03 Shares Outstanding 2.57B 2.57B 2.56B 2.55B 2.52B
📊 Profit & Loss Statement
Item Dec '25 Dec '24 Dec '23 Dec '22 Dec '21 Total Revenue $4.48B $2.87B $2.23B $1.91B — Cost of Revenue $789.2M $566.0M $431.1M $408.5M — Gross Profit $3.69B $2.30B $1.79B $1.50B — Operating Expense $2.27B $1.99B $1.67B $1.66B — Operating Income $1.41B $310.4M $120.0M $-161.2M — Interest Expense — — $3.5M $4.1M $3.6M Pretax Income $1.66B $489.2M $237.1M $-361.0M — Tax Provision $22.7M $21.3M $19.7M $10.1M — Net Income $1.63B $462.2M $209.8M $-373.7M — EBITDA $1.44B $342.0M $153.3M $-138.7M — EPS (Basic) $0.69 $0.21 $0.10 $-0.18 — EPS (Diluted) $0.63 $0.19 $0.09 $-0.18 — Shares Outstanding 2.57B 2.45B 2.29B 2.06B —
🏦 Balance Sheet
Item Dec '25 Dec '24 Dec '23 Dec '22 Dec '21 Total Assets $8.90B $6.34B $4.52B $3.46B — Current Assets $8.36B $5.93B $4.14B $3.04B — Cash & Equivalents $1.42B $2.10B $831.0M $2.60B — Accounts Receivable $1.04B $575.0M $364.8M $258.3M — Non-Current Assets $542.2M $406.6M $383.8M $419.7M — Property Plant & Equip $252.1M $240.4M $230.6M $269.4M — Total Liabilities $1.41B $1.25B $961.5M $818.8M — Current Liabilities $1.18B $996.0M $746.0M $587.9M — Accounts Payable $8.1M $103.0K $12.1M $44.8M — Short-Term Debt $45.9M $44.0M $54.2M $45.1M — Long-Term Debt $183.5M $195.2M $175.2M $204.3M — Total Equity $7.49B $5.09B $3.56B $2.64B — Retained Earnings $-3.56B $-5.19B $-5.65B $-5.86B — Book Value/Share 7.39B 5.00B 3.48B 2.57B —
💰 Cash Flow Statement
Item Dec '25 Dec '24 Dec '23 Dec '22 Dec '21 Operating Cash Flow $2.13B $1.15B $712.2M $223.7M — Depreciation & Amort. $26.1M $31.6M $33.4M $22.5M — Change in Working Cap $-210.0M $-70.1M $6.2M $-261.2M — Capital Expenditure $-33.9M $-12.6M $-15.1M $-40.0M — Free Cash Flow $2.10B $1.14B $697.1M $183.7M — Investing Cash Flow $-2.78B $-340.7M $-2.71B $-45.4M — Acquisitions — — — — $0 Financing Cash Flow $-26.9M $463.4M $218.8M $86.0M — Debt Issued — — — $0 $0 Debt Repaid — — $0 $0 $-200.0M Share Buyback $-75.0M $-64.2M $0 $0 — Net Change in Cash $-676.0M $1.28B $-1.78B $264.3M —
📈 Key Financial Ratios
Ratio FY2025 FY2024 FY2023 FY2022 FY2021 Gross Margin % 82.4% 80.2% 80.6% 78.6% — Operating Margin % 31.6% 10.8% 5.4% -8.5% — Net Margin % 36.3% 16.1% 9.4% -19.6% — EBITDA Margin % 32.2% 11.9% 6.9% -7.3% — ROE % 21.7% 9.1% 5.9% -14.1% — ROA % 18.3% 7.3% 4.6% -10.8% — Debt/Equity % 3.1% 4.7% 6.4% 9.4% — Current Ratio 7.11 5.96 5.55 5.17 — FCF Margin % 46.9% 39.8% 31.3% 9.6% — Asset Turnover 0.50 0.45 0.49 0.55 —
🚀 Compounded Growth Rates
Revenue
1-Year +56.2% 3-Year CAGR +41.8%
Net Profit
1-Year +251.6% 3-Year CAGR +178.3%
EPS
1-Year +231.1% 3-Year CAGR +164.4%
🏭 Industry Peers — Software - Infrastructure
Ticker Company Price P/E P/B MCap ROE Margin Rev Growth AAPL Apple Inc. $268.98 34.0 44.8 $3,948.9B 152.0% 27.0% 15.7% MSFT Microsoft Corporation $423.82 26.5 8.1 $3,150.0B 34.4% 39.0% 16.7% GOOGL Alphabet Inc. $350.33 32.4 10.2 $4,238.1B 35.7% 32.8% 18.0% META Meta Platforms, Inc. $671.73 28.6 7.8 $1,705.1B 30.2% 30.1% 23.8% NVDA NVIDIA Corporation $210.48 43.0 32.5 $5,115.7B 101.5% 55.6% 73.2% ORCL Oracle Corporation $162.73 29.2 13.9 $468.0B 57.6% 25.3% 21.7% CRM Salesforce, Inc. $180.20 23.1 2.8 $147.4B 12.4% 18.0% 12.1% ADBE Adobe Inc. $241.49 14.1 8.6 $97.6B 58.8% 29.5% 12.0%
Peers selected from Technology sector · Data from Yahoo Finance
🏛 Shareholding Pattern
TOP HOLDERS
Holder Type Shares % Held Vanguard Group Inc Inst 215,444,098 9.88% Blackrock Inc. Inst 193,327,487 8.87% State Street Corporation Inst 102,385,317 4.70% Geode Capital Management, LLC Inst 54,200,265 2.49% JPMORGAN CHASE & CO Inst 35,575,332 1.63% VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total MF 68,201,094 3.13% VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 I MF 57,604,093 2.64% Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 MF 48,591,164 2.23%
🟢 CATALYSTS
🏆 Revenue Growth 70%: Above sector norm of 30% — strong top-line momentum.
💹 High ROE (26.0%): Above sector norm of 25% — efficient capital use.
🔀 Healthy Margins (36.3%): Above sector norm of 25%.
🇺 Analyst Upside (36%): Mean target of $186.47 above current price.
🇸 Earnings Growth (648%): Above sector norm — strong profit expansion.
🔴 RISKS
📜 High P/E (213.9x): Well above sector expensive threshold of 60x — leaves little room for error.
💰 High P/B (44.3x): Well above sector expensive threshold of 15x.
🔓 High Beta (1.67): More volatile than market — higher swing risk.
🕸 Factor Analysis · Radar
Momentum 2/10: 1M -0.5%, 6M -31.2%, RSI 43, MACD bearish, Below 200DMA Sentiment 9/10: Analyst upside +36.2%, Rec: buy Value 0/10: P/E 213.9, P/B 44.3, PEG 2.81, EV/EBITDA 229.7 Quality 10/10: ROE 26.0%, Margin 36.3%, D/E 3, CR 7.11 Low Volatility 1/10: Beta 1.67, Ann. vol 53% Momentum
2
Sentiment
9
Value
0
Quality
10
Low Vol
1
Momentum 2/10 1M -0.5%, 6M -31.2%, RSI 43, MACD bearish, Below 200DMA
Sentiment 9/10 Analyst upside +36.2%, Rec: buy
Value 0/10 P/E 213.9, P/B 44.3, PEG 2.81, EV/EBITDA 229.7
Quality 10/10 ROE 26.0%, Margin 36.3%, D/E 3, CR 7.11
Low Volatility 1/10 Beta 1.67, Ann. vol 53%
🎯 Decision Matrix — Game Theory
Action If Stock Rises If Stock Falls
BUY Capture 36.2% analyst upside OPM of 41% provides margin buffer HOLD Retain existing position; wait for better entry Miss further upside if momentum continues SELL Lock in +17.9% 1Y return Avoid further drawdown
REASONS TO BUY
Analyst upside of 36.2% with mean target of $186.47
ROE of 26.0% above sector norm of 25%
Revenue growing at 70.0% YoY (sector norm: 12%)
Operating margin of 41% shows pricing power (sector norm: 25%)
REASONS TO SELL / AVOID
P/E of 213.9x exceeds sector expensive threshold of 60x
Palantir Technologies Inc. trades at $136.87 with a composite risk score of 49/100.
The stock scores 2/25 on valuation, 24/25 on financial health, 20/25 on growth, and 3/25 on technicals.
The company is currently profitable with strong return on equity.
Bottom Line: Neutral for Technology — wait for better entry or catalyst. The current recommendation is HOLD .
PROFITABLE
HIGH ROE
STRONG GROWTH
UPSIDE POTENTIAL
EXPENSIVE
VOLATILE