COMPOSITE RISK SCORE
38
HIGH RISK
VAL:2/25 · FIN:3/25 · GRO:15/25 · TECH:18/25
📖 P/B RATIO
270.1x
Price to Book
🏛 MARKET CAP
$127.3B
Large Cap
📊 ROE
-324.3%
Return on Equity
Overview
Technical
Financials
Analysis
Verdict
🏢 Company Analysis · Seagate Technology Holdings plc
💼 BUSINESS MODEL
Seagate Technology Holdings plc engages in the provision of data storage technology and infrastructure solutions in Singapore, the United States, the Netherlands, and internationally.. The company offers mass capacity storage products, including enterprise nearline hard disk drives (HDDs), enterprise nearline solid state drives (SSDs), enterprise nearline systems, video and image HDDs, and network-attached storage drives.. It also offers legacy applications comprising Mission Critical HDDs and SSDs; external storage solutions under the Seagate Ultra Touch, One Touch, Expansion, and Basics product lines, as well as under the LaCie brand name; desktop drives for personal computers and workstation applications; notebook drives traditional notebooks, convertible systems, and external storage applications, DVR HDDs for video streaming applications, and gaming SSDs for gaming rigs.. In addition, the company provides Lyve edge-to-cloud mass capacity platform, that includes modular hardware and software to support enterprises' on-premise and cloud storage infrastructure needs.. Operates in Computer Hardware within the Technology sector. Workforce of 30,000 employees.
🏰 MOAT & COMPETITION
Large-cap ($127B) — established player with meaningful market presence. Profit margin of 19.6% — moderate pricing power.
🚀 CATALYSTS
Revenue growing at 22% — strong top-line momentum. Earnings growth of 68% signals execution on profitability.
⚖️ ASYMMETRY CHECK
Analyst target range: $375 — $800 (mean $549, 22 analysts). Moderate asymmetry — upside +41% vs downside -34% (1.2x).P/E of 64.0x — premium valuation , growth must sustain to avoid de-rating risk.
🔭 FUTURE OUTLOOK
Analyst consensus: Buy (22 analysts). Latest quarter earnings grew 76% YoY — positive trajectory.
P/E at 64x
P/B at 270.1x
Analyst target: $549.16 (-3.4%)
1Y return: +600.6%
ROE: -324.3%
Profit margin: 19.6%
Revenue growth: 21.5%
Debt/Equity: 1047%
Revenue growth: 21.5%
Earnings growth: 67.7%
Beta: 1.63
Sector: Technology
RSI, MACD, MA crossovers
200 DMA & 50 EMA position
Volume trend analysis
Price momentum signals
📈 Price Movement
1D 1W 1M
6M 1Y 3Y 5Y
🕯 Candlestick Chart
1D 1W 1M
6M 1Y 3Y 5Y
🎯 Price Prediction · Analyst Target Cone
📉 Valuation Trends (at current CMP)
P/E P/B MCap/Sales EPS
413.7
326.6
239.6
152.6
65.6
2021
2022
2024
2021: 106.0 2022: 77.2 2024: 359.7 359.7
Insufficient P/B data
22.4
19.1
15.8
12.6
9.3
2022
2023
2024
2025
2022: 10.9 2023: 17.2 2024: 19.4 2025: 14.0 14.0
8.5
6.7
4.9
3.1
1.3
2021
2022
2024
2021: 5.4 2022: 7.4 2024: 1.6 1.6
💎 Valuation & Financial Metrics
P/E RATIO
64.0x
Trailing twelve months
P/B RATIO
270.1x
Price to Book value
ROE
-324.3%
Return on Equity
PROFIT MARGIN
19.6%
Net profit margin
OPM
29.9%
Operating profit margin
ANALYST TARGET
$549.16
Range: $375.00 - $800.00
PEG RATIO
0.91
Price/Earnings to Growth
EV/EBITDA
46.9x
Enterprise value ratio
CURRENT RATIO
1.12
Liquidity measure
DIVIDEND YIELD
50.00%
Annual yield
GROSS MARGIN
38.8%
Gross profit margin
SECTOR BENCHMARKS — COMPUTER HARDWARE
P/E (fair) 35.0x (sector mid)
P/B (fair) 8.0x (sector mid)
ROE (good) 25% (sector target)
OPM (good) 25% (sector target)
D/E comfort <20 (sector)
📋 Quarterly Performance Trend
Quarter Revenue QoQ % Net Profit QoQ % Op. Cash Flow EBITDA Margin
Q4 '24
$2.3B —
$336.0M —
$221.0M
21.4%
Q1 '25
$2.2B -7.1%
$340.0M +1.2%
$259.0M
22.9%
Q2 '25
$2.4B +13.1%
$488.0M +43.5%
$508.0M
25.7%
Q3 '25
$2.6B +7.6%
$549.0M +12.5%
$532.0M
29.1%
Q4 '25
$2.8B +7.5%
$593.0M +8.0%
$723.0M
30.0%
📊 Year-on-Year Trend
FY Revenue YoY % Net Profit YoY % Op. Cash Flow YoY %
2021
N/A —
N/A —
N/A —
2022
$11.7B —
$1.6B —
$1.7B —
2023
$7.4B -36.7%
$-529.0M -132.1%
$942.0M -43.2%
2024
$6.6B -11.3%
$335.0M +163.3%
$918.0M -2.5%
2025
$9.1B +38.9%
$1.5B +338.5%
$1.1B +18.0%
📈 Revenue vs Earnings
Quarterly
Annual
💰 How Seagate Technology Holdings plc Makes Its Money
Quarterly
Annual
Revenue
$2.8B
Cost of Revenue
$1.6B
Gross Profit
$1.2B
R&D
$187M
SG&A
$143M
Operating Inc.
$846M
Tax
$114M
Interest
$72M
Net Income
$593M
(21.0% margin)
Dec 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$2.6B
Cost of Revenue
$1.6B
Gross Profit
$1.0B
R&D
$186M
SG&A
$144M
Operating Inc.
$707M
Tax
$65M
Interest
$80M
Net Income
$549M
(20.9% margin)
Sep 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$2.4B
Cost of Revenue
$1.5B
Gross Profit
$914M
R&D
$179M
SG&A
$154M
Operating Inc.
$581M
Interest
$75M
Net Income
$488M
(20.0% margin)
Jun 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$2.2B
Cost of Revenue
$1.4B
Gross Profit
$760M
R&D
$180M
SG&A
$139M
Operating Inc.
$441M
Tax
$15M
Interest
$77M
Net Income
$340M
(15.7% margin)
Mar 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$9.1B
Cost of Revenue
$5.9B
Gross Profit
$3.2B
R&D
$724M
SG&A
$561M
Operating Inc.
$1.9B
Interest
$321M
Other
$106M
Net Income
$1.5B
(16.1% margin)
Jun 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$6.6B
Cost of Revenue
$5.0B
Gross Profit
$1.5B
R&D
$654M
SG&A
$460M
Operating Inc.
$422M
Tax
$110M
Interest
$332M
Other
$340M
Net Income
$335M
(5.1% margin)
Jun 2024 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$7.4B
Cost of Revenue
$6.0B
Gross Profit
$1.4B
R&D
$797M
SG&A
$491M
Operating Inc.
$60M
Interest
$313M
Other
$253M
Net Income
-$529M
(-7.2% margin)
Jun 2023 · All values in $ Millions
Revenue
$11.7B
Cost of Revenue
$8.2B
Gross Profit
$3.5B
R&D
$941M
SG&A
$559M
Operating Inc.
$2.0B
Interest
$249M
Net Income
$1.6B
(14.1% margin)
Jun 2022 · All values in $ Millions
Dec 2025
Sep 2025
Jun 2025
Mar 2025
🏦 Snapshot of Seagate Technology Holdings plc's Balance Sheet
Quarterly
Annual
Total Assets
$8.7B
Cash & Equiv.: $1.0B (12.0%)
Receivables: $1.2B (14.3%)
Inventory: $1.5B (17.2%)
Other Current: $419M (4.8%)
PP&E: $1.8B (20.3%)
Goodwill: $1.2B (14.0%)
Other Non-Curr.: $1.5B (17.3%)
Liab. + Equity
$8.7B
Current Liab.: $3.8B (43.2%)
Long-Term Debt: $3.5B (40.2%)
Other Liab.: $987M (11.3%)
Equity: $459M (5.3%)
As of Dec 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$8.4B
Cash & Equiv.: $1.1B (13.2%)
Receivables: $1.1B (12.7%)
Inventory: $1.5B (17.7%)
Other Current: $351M (4.2%)
PP&E: $1.7B (20.0%)
Goodwill: $1.2B (14.5%)
Other Non-Curr.: $1.5B (17.8%)
Liab. + Equity
$8.4B
Current Liab.: $4.1B (48.8%)
Long-Term Debt: $3.5B (41.4%)
Other Liab.: $890M (10.5%)
Equity: $63M (0.7%)
As of Sep 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$8.0B
Cash & Equiv.: $891M (11.1%)
Receivables: $959M (12.0%)
Inventory: $1.4B (17.9%)
Other Current: $363M (4.5%)
PP&E: $1.7B (20.7%)
Goodwill: $1.2B (15.2%)
Other Non-Curr.: $1.5B (18.6%)
Liab. + Equity
$8.0B
Current Liab.: $2.6B (33.0%)
Long-Term Debt: $5.0B (62.3%)
Other Liab.: $833M (10.4%)
Equity: $453M (5.6%)
As of Jun 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$7.6B
Cash & Equiv.: $814M (10.8%)
Receivables: $622M (8.2%)
Inventory: $1.5B (19.5%)
Other Current: $374M (4.9%)
PP&E: $1.6B (21.3%)
Goodwill: $1.2B (16.1%)
Other Non-Curr.: $1.4B (19.2%)
Liab. + Equity
$7.6B
Current Liab.: $2.4B (31.9%)
Long-Term Debt: $5.1B (68.0%)
Other Liab.: $835M (11.0%)
Equity: $829M (11.0%)
As of Mar 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$8.0B
Cash & Equiv.: $891M (11.1%)
Receivables: $959M (12.0%)
Inventory: $1.4B (17.9%)
Other Current: $363M (4.5%)
PP&E: $1.7B (20.7%)
Goodwill: $1.2B (15.2%)
Other Non-Curr.: $1.5B (18.6%)
Liab. + Equity
$8.0B
Current Liab.: $2.6B (33.0%)
Long-Term Debt: $5.0B (62.3%)
Other Liab.: $833M (10.4%)
Equity: $453M (5.6%)
As of Jun 2025 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$7.7B
Cash & Equiv.: $1.4B (17.5%)
Receivables: $429M (5.5%)
Inventory: $1.2B (16.0%)
Other Current: $306M (4.0%)
PP&E: $1.6B (20.9%)
Goodwill: $1.2B (15.8%)
Other Non-Curr.: $1.6B (20.3%)
Liab. + Equity
$7.7B
Current Liab.: $3.1B (40.0%)
Long-Term Debt: $5.2B (67.1%)
Other Liab.: $936M (12.1%)
Equity: $1.5B (19.3%)
As of Jun 2024 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$7.6B
Cash & Equiv.: $786M (10.4%)
Receivables: $621M (8.2%)
Inventory: $1.1B (15.1%)
Other Current: $358M (4.7%)
PP&E: $1.7B (22.6%)
Goodwill: $1.2B (16.4%)
Other Non-Curr.: $1.7B (22.6%)
Liab. + Equity
$7.6B
Current Liab.: $2.6B (34.3%)
Long-Term Debt: $5.4B (71.3%)
Other Liab.: $775M (10.3%)
Equity: $1.2B (15.9%)
As of Jun 2023 · All values in $ Millions
Total Assets
$8.9B
Cash & Equiv.: $615M (6.9%)
Receivables: $1.5B (17.1%)
Inventory: $1.6B (17.5%)
Other Current: $321M (3.6%)
PP&E: $2.3B (26.1%)
Goodwill: $1.2B (13.8%)
Other Non-Curr.: $1.3B (14.9%)
Liab. + Equity
$8.9B
Current Liab.: $3.6B (39.7%)
Long-Term Debt: $5.1B (56.6%)
Other Liab.: $218M (2.4%)
Equity: $109M (1.2%)
As of Jun 2022 · All values in $ Millions
Dec 2025
Sep 2025
Jun 2025
Mar 2025
💸 Looking into Seagate Technology Holdings plc's Cash Flow
Quarterly
Annual
Operating CF
$723M
Capital Exp.
$116M
Free Cash Flow
$607M
Dividends
$154M
Retained / Other
$453M
FY2025 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$532M
Capital Exp.
$105M
Free Cash Flow
$427M
Dividends
$153M
Buybacks
$29M
Retained / Other
$245M
FY2025 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$508M
Capital Exp.
$83M
Free Cash Flow
$425M
Dividends
$153M
Debt Repaid
$547M
FY2025 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$259M
Capital Exp.
$43M
Free Cash Flow
$216M
Dividends
$152M
Debt Repaid
$531M
FY2025 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$1.1B
Capital Exp.
$265M
Free Cash Flow
$818M
Dividends
$600M
Debt Repaid
$1.1B
FY2025 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$918M
Capital Exp.
$254M
Free Cash Flow
$664M
Dividends
$585M
Debt Repaid
$1.3B
FY2024 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$942M
Capital Exp.
$316M
Free Cash Flow
$626M
Dividends
$582M
Buybacks
$408M
Debt Repaid
$1.6B
FY2023 · All values in $ Millions
Operating CF
$1.7B
Capital Exp.
$381M
Free Cash Flow
$1.3B
Dividends
$610M
Buybacks
$1.8B
Debt Repaid
$701M
FY2022 · All values in $ Millions
FY2025
FY2025
FY2025
FY2025
🎯 EPS: Estimate vs Actual
Estimates
Quarterly
Annual
📅 Quarterly Results
Item Dec '25 Sep '25 Jun '25 Mar '25 Dec '24 Total Revenue $2.83B $2.63B $2.44B $2.16B $2.33B Cost of Revenue $1.65B $1.59B $1.53B $1.40B $1.51B Gross Profit $1.18B $1.04B $914.0M $760.0M $812.0M Operating Expense $330.0M $330.0M $333.0M $319.0M $323.0M Operating Income $846.0M $707.0M $581.0M $441.0M $489.0M Interest Expense $72.0M $80.0M $75.0M $77.0M $84.0M Pretax Income $707.0M $614.0M $492.0M $355.0M $350.0M Tax Provision $114.0M $65.0M $4.0M $15.0M $14.0M Net Income $593.0M $549.0M $488.0M $340.0M $336.0M EBITDA $847.0M $766.0M $628.0M $495.0M $497.0M EPS (Basic) $2.75 $2.58 $2.30 $1.60 $1.58 EPS (Diluted) $2.60 $2.43 $2.24 $1.57 $1.55 Shares Outstanding 228.0M 226.0M 218.0M 216.0M 217.0M
📊 Profit & Loss Statement
Item Jun '25 Jun '24 Jun '23 Jun '22 Jun '21 Total Revenue $9.10B $6.55B $7.38B $11.66B — Cost of Revenue $5.90B $5.01B $6.03B $8.19B — Gross Profit $3.20B $1.54B $1.35B $3.47B — Operating Expense $1.28B $1.11B $1.29B $1.51B — Operating Income $1.92B $422.0M $60.0M $1.96B — Interest Expense $321.0M $332.0M $313.0M $249.0M — Pretax Income $1.51B $445.0M $-496.0M $1.68B — Tax Provision $44.0M $110.0M $33.0M $30.0M — Net Income $1.47B $335.0M $-529.0M $1.65B — EBITDA $2.08B $1.04B $330.0M $2.38B — EPS (Basic) — $1.60 $-2.56 $7.50 $5.43 EPS (Diluted) — $1.58 $-2.56 $7.36 $5.36 Shares Outstanding — 212.0M 207.0M 224.0M 245.0M
🏦 Balance Sheet
Item Jun '25 Jun '24 Jun '23 Jun '22 Jun '21 Total Assets $8.02B $7.74B $7.56B $8.94B — Current Assets $3.65B $3.33B $2.90B $4.03B — Cash & Equivalents $891.0M $1.36B $786.0M $615.0M — Accounts Receivable $959.0M $429.0M $621.0M $1.53B — Inventory $1.44B $1.24B $1.14B $1.56B — Non-Current Assets $4.37B $4.41B $4.65B $4.91B — Property Plant & Equip $1.66B $1.61B $1.71B $2.33B — Goodwill $1.22B $1.22B $1.24B $1.24B — Intangible Assets $1.22B $1.22B $1.24B $1.25B — Total Liabilities $8.48B $9.23B $8.76B $8.84B — Current Liabilities $2.65B $3.10B $2.59B $3.56B — Accounts Payable $1.60B $1.79B $1.60B $2.06B — Short-Term Debt — $479.0M $63.0M $584.0M $245.0M Long-Term Debt $5.00B $5.20B $5.39B $5.06B — Total Equity $-453.0M $-1.49B $-1.20B $109.0M — Retained Earnings $-8.15B $-8.96B $-8.67B $-7.12B — Book Value/Share -1.67B -2.71B -2.44B -1.14B —
💰 Cash Flow Statement
Item Jun '25 Jun '24 Jun '23 Jun '22 Jun '21 Operating Cash Flow $1.08B $918.0M $942.0M $1.66B — Depreciation & Amort. $251.0M $264.0M $513.0M $451.0M — Change in Working Cap $-905.0M $431.0M $1.16B $-643.0M — Capital Expenditure $-265.0M $-254.0M $-316.0M $-381.0M — Free Cash Flow $818.0M $664.0M $626.0M $1.28B — Investing Cash Flow $-276.0M $126.0M $217.0M $-352.0M — Acquisitions $-88.0M — — — — Financing Cash Flow $-1.27B $-473.0M $-988.0M $-1.90B — Debt Issued $400.0M $1.50B $1.60B $1.20B — Debt Repaid $-1.08B $-1.29B $-1.58B $-701.0M — Dividends Paid $-600.0M $-585.0M $-582.0M $-610.0M — Share Buyback $0 $0 $-408.0M $-1.80B — Net Change in Cash $-467.0M $571.0M $171.0M $-594.0M —
📈 Key Financial Ratios
Ratio FY2025 FY2024 FY2023 FY2022 FY2021 Gross Margin % 35.2% 23.4% 18.3% 29.7% — Operating Margin % 21.1% 6.4% 0.8% 16.8% — Net Margin % 16.1% 5.1% -7.2% 14.1% — EBITDA Margin % 22.9% 15.9% 4.5% 20.4% — ROE % -324.3% -22.5% 44.1% 1512.8% — ROA % 18.3% 4.3% -7.0% 18.4% — Debt/Equity % -1102.6% -380.5% -454.6% 5225.7% — Current Ratio 1.38 1.08 1.12 1.13 — FCF Margin % 9.0% 10.1% 8.5% 10.9% — Asset Turnover 1.13 0.85 0.98 1.30 —
🚀 Compounded Growth Rates
Revenue
1-Year +38.9% 3-Year CAGR +11.0%
🏭 Industry Peers — Computer Hardware
Ticker Company Price P/E P/B MCap ROE Margin Rev Growth AAPL Apple Inc. $269.41 34.1 44.9 $3,955.2B 152.0% 27.0% 15.7% MSFT Microsoft Corporation $428.35 26.8 8.1 $3,183.7B 34.4% 39.0% 16.7% GOOGL Alphabet Inc. $349.23 32.2 10.2 $4,224.8B 35.7% 32.8% 18.0% META Meta Platforms, Inc. $669.17 28.5 7.8 $1,698.6B 30.2% 30.1% 23.8% NVDA NVIDIA Corporation $210.50 43.0 32.5 $5,116.2B 101.5% 55.6% 73.2% ORCL Oracle Corporation $166.87 30.0 14.3 $480.0B 57.6% 25.3% 21.7% CRM Salesforce, Inc. $182.34 23.4 2.9 $149.2B 12.4% 18.0% 12.1% ADBE Adobe Inc. $243.93 14.2 8.7 $98.6B 58.8% 29.5% 12.0%
Peers selected from Technology sector · Data from Yahoo Finance
🏛 Shareholding Pattern
TOP HOLDERS
Holder Type Shares % Held Vanguard Group Inc Inst 28,119,431 12.89% Sanders Capital, LLC Inst 17,180,892 7.88% Blackrock Inc. Inst 16,116,926 7.39% State Street Corporation Inst 9,370,805 4.30% JPMORGAN CHASE & CO Inst 6,997,975 3.21% VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total MF 6,705,443 3.07% VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 I MF 5,493,349 2.52% VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Mid-C MF 4,648,191 2.13%
🟢 CATALYSTS
🏆 Positive Revenue Growth: Revenue growing at 21.5% YoY.
💹 Earnings Growth (68%): Above sector norm — strong profit expansion.
🔀 Sector Opportunity: Technology / Computer Hardware — positioned in growth sector.
🔴 RISKS
📜 Elevated P/E (64.0x): Above sector expensive threshold of 60x.
💰 High P/B (270.1x): Well above sector expensive threshold of 15x.
🔓 High Debt/Equity (1047%): Above sector threshold of 60% — leverage risk.
⚔ High Beta (1.63): More volatile than market — higher swing risk.
️ Below Analyst Target: CMP above mean target — limited upside consensus.
🕸 Factor Analysis · Radar
Momentum 9/10: 1M +56.8%, 6M +156.0%, RSI 66, MACD bullish, Above 200DMA Sentiment 5/10: Analyst upside -3.4%, Rec: buy Value 2/10: P/E 64.0, P/B 270.1, PEG 0.91, EV/EBITDA 46.9 Quality 4/10: Margin 19.6%, D/E 1047, CR 1.12 Low Volatility 0/10: Beta 1.63, Ann. vol 62% Momentum
9
Sentiment
5
Value
2
Quality
4
Low Vol
0
Momentum 9/10 1M +56.8%, 6M +156.0%, RSI 66, MACD bullish, Above 200DMA
Sentiment 5/10 Analyst upside -3.4%, Rec: buy
Value 2/10 P/E 64.0, P/B 270.1, PEG 0.91, EV/EBITDA 46.9
Quality 4/10 Margin 19.6%, D/E 1047, CR 1.12
Low Volatility 0/10 Beta 1.63, Ann. vol 62%
🎯 Decision Matrix — Game Theory
Action If Stock Rises If Stock Falls
BUY Benefit from potential re-rating OPM of 30% provides margin buffer HOLD Retain existing position; wait for better entry Miss further upside if momentum continues; 1M return of +56.8% shows momentum SELL Lock in +600.6% 1Y return Avoid further drawdown
REASONS TO BUY
Revenue growing at 21.5% YoY (sector norm: 12%)
Operating margin of 30% shows pricing power (sector norm: 25%)
REASONS TO SELL / AVOID
P/E of 64.0x exceeds sector expensive threshold of 60x
1Y return of +600.6% — profit booking opportunity
Trading above analyst target — consensus sees -3.4% downside
Debt/Equity at 1047% exceeds sector comfort zone
Seagate Technology Holdings plc trades at $568.31 with a composite risk score of 38/100.
The stock scores 2/25 on valuation, 3/25 on financial health, 15/25 on growth, and 18/25 on technicals.
The company is currently profitable with negative return on equity.
Bottom Line: Elevated risk for Technology — consider exiting. The current recommendation is SELL .
PROFITABLE
STRONG GROWTH
EXPENSIVE
VOLATILE
HIGH DEBT